Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 27 May 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 25th strongest of the 106 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 27 at 3:16PM EDT until May 27 at 4:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
An estimated 46,597 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- May 28, 2026 · score 39 · 12.6 km
- May 27, 2026 · score 39 · 16.9 km
- July 21, 2026 · score 39 · 22.3 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 89% |
| Coordinates | 37.9024, -78.3352 |
| Nearest City | Charlottesville (19 km) |
| Population Exposed | 46.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-27T19:16:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3c17cb16b158b660959c66eaa5af53ff |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Cumberland, VA; Fluvanna, VA; Goochland, VA; Louisa, VA; Albemarle, VA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 27 at 3:16PM EDT until May 27 at 4:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-05-27T16:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3c17cb16b158b660959c66eaa5af53ffd8eb5d6e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2bfecdf1ae14ad787562ba858595ec1c542911a8.002.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 2 E Lignum |
| Iem County | Culpeper |
| Iem State | VA |
| Iem Wfo | LWX |
| Iem Remark | There was a call for trees down near the intersection of Elys Frd Road and Yellow Bottom Road. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_38.240_-77.670_1779901500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779901500000,"latitude":38.24,"longitude":-77.67},{"id":"iem_D_38.420_-77.800_1779899400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779899400000,"latitude":38.42,"longitude":-77.8}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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